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IBDP · May 2026 Exam Prediction

IB Chemistry HL & SL

Topic Prediction Guide

Paper 1A (MCQ) · Paper 1B (Data) · Paper 2 (Extended Response) — Structure & Reactivity subtopic frequency for IBDP May 2026. Based on May 2025 + mapped old syllabus data.

6+
Years Data
20+
Subtopics
2
Core Themes
HL&SL
Both Levels
Predictions are based on historical past-paper frequency analysis (May 2021–2025) and are a study aid — not leaked or guaranteed exam content.
IB CHEMISTRY — PAPER 1A MCQ TOPIC FREQUENCY | May 2025 + Mapped Old Syllabus 2019–2024 | SL & HL
Free preview: Structure 1 (Atomic model & bonding) · Further topics locked below · 🟢 = new · 🟡 = mapped old · AHL rows greyed in SL view
RefThemeTopic / SubtopicM20M21M22M23M24M25★HL only?May 2026
THEME A: UNITY & DIVERSITY — cells, classification, viruses, biodiversity (free preview)
A.1Unity/DivCell structure — prokaryotic vs eukaryotic, organelles, ultrastructure, scale & magnification 🟡✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
A.2Unity/DivClassification & diversity — binomial nomenclature, phylogenetic trees, kingdoms, domains 🟡✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐
A.3Unity/DivViruses — structure, lytic & lysogenic cycles, HIV, COVID, virus-host interactions 🟢✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐ NEW
A.4Unity/DivConservation of biodiversity — species richness, ecosystem services, threats, conservation strategies 🟡✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐
A.HLUnity/DivCladistics & gene pools — cladograms, shared derived characteristics, species concepts, speciation HL 🟢✔★HL⭐⭐⭐⭐ HL NEW
RefThemeTopic / SubtopicM20M21M22M23M24M25★HL only?May 2026
STRUCTURE 2: MODELS OF BONDING & STRUCTURE — covalent, metallic, giant ionic
S2.1BondingIonic structures — lattice energy, properties of ionic compounds, Born-Haber cycle (AHL)✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
S2.2BondingCovalent structures — allotropes of carbon, giant covalent (SiO2, diamond, graphite), properties✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐
S2.3BondingMetallic structures — electron sea model, properties, alloys, conductivity✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐
S2.AHLBondingTransition metals — d-block, variable oxidation states, complex ions, colour, catalytic properties AHL✔★AHL⭐⭐⭐⭐ AHL
STRUCTURE 3: CLASSIFICATION OF MATTER — organic functional groups, polymers
S3.1OrganicFunctional groups — homologous series, alkanes/alkenes/alkynes/alcohols/aldehydes/ketones/carboxylic acids naming✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
S3.2OrganicPolymers — addition polymerisation, condensation polymers, nylon, polyester, properties✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐
REACTIVITY 1: WHAT DRIVES REACTIONS — energy, entropy, Gibbs energy
R1.1ReactivityMeasuring energy changes — enthalpy, calorimetry, Hess's law, bond enthalpies, standard enthalpy✔★★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
R1.2ReactivityEnergy diagrams — activation energy, reaction profiles, Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution, catalysts✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
R1.AHLReactivityEntropy & Gibbs energy — ΔS, ΔG = ΔH - TΔS, spontaneity, standard Gibbs energy of formation AHL✔★★AHL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ AHL CERTAIN
REACTIVITY 2: HOW FAST & HOW FAR — kinetics, equilibrium, acids/bases (most tested)
R2.1KineticsRate of reaction — concentration/temperature/surface area/catalysts effects, collision theory, rate expression✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
R2.2EquilibriumChemical equilibrium — Le Chatelier's principle, Kc expression, effect of conditions on K, Haber/Contact process✔★★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
R2.3Acids/BasesAcids & bases — Brønsted-Lowry, strong/weak acids, pH, Ka, Kw, buffer solutions, titration curves✔★★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
REACTIVITY 3: ELECTRON TRANSFER — redox, electrochemistry, organic mechanisms
R3.1RedoxRedox reactions — oxidation states, half-equations, balancing redox, electrochemical series, EMF✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
R3.2ElectrochemistryElectrochemical cells — voltaic cells, electrolysis, Faraday's laws, galvanic corrosion✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐
R3.3Organic RxnsOrganic reaction mechanisms — addition, substitution, elimination; halogenoalkanes, alcohol reactions✔★SL&HL⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
R3.AHLOrganic (AHL)Advanced organic mechanisms — SN1/SN2, E1/E2, nucleophilic addition, benzene electrophilic substitution AHL✔★AHL⭐⭐⭐⭐ AHL
IB CHEMISTRY — PAPER 2 EXTENDED RESPONSE TOPIC FREQUENCY | May 2025 + Mapped 2019–2024
Extended questions require calculation + explanation | Stoichiometry skills needed throughout | AHL rows greyed in SL view
ThemeTopic AreaM21M22M23M24M25★Avg MarksMay 2026
REACTIVITY 2 — Kinetics, Equilibrium & Acids/Bases: most marks available in Paper 2
R2.2Equilibrium extended — Kc calculation, ICE tables, effect of conditions, Haber/Contact process evaluation✔★★12–18⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
R2.3Acids & bases extended — pH/pOH calculations, Ka, buffer calculations, titration curve interpretation, indicators✔★★12–18⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
R2.1Kinetics extended — rate laws, order of reaction from data, Arrhenius equation, mechanism & rate-determining step✔★10–14⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
REACTIVITY 1 — Energy & thermochemistry
R1.1Enthalpy calculations — Hess's law multi-step, bond enthalpy calculations, calorimetry data processing✔★★10–14⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
R1.AHLEntropy & Gibbs — ΔG calculations, spontaneity conditions, ΔG° from standard values, Born-Haber AHL✔★★12–16⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ AHL CERTAIN
REACTIVITY 3 — Redox, electrochemistry, organic mechanisms
R3.1Redox extended — balancing in acidic/basic conditions, EMF calculations, electrochemical series problems✔★10–14⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
R3.3Organic reactions extended — reaction pathways, mechanism drawing, identify reagents/conditions, multi-step synthesis✔★12–18⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ CERTAIN
STRUCTURE — Bonding, periodic trends, stoichiometry always in Paper 2
S1.1–S1.4Stoichiometry & bonding extended — mole calculations, empirical formula, VSEPR analysis, polarity, properties from structure✔★10–16⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
AHL topicsTransition metals, SN1/SN2 mechanisms, NMR spectroscopy, advanced electrochemistry — AHL P2 always tests these AHL✔★12–18⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ AHL

About the new IB Chemistry syllabus

IB Chemistry was restructured for first assessment in May 2025. The new syllabus is organised around two overarching concepts: Structure (how matter is built) and Reactivity (how and why reactions occur). This replaced the old 11-topic structure. Paper 3 and all option topics (Materials, Biochemistry, Energy, Medicinal Chemistry) are removed, with some content integrated into SL and AHL core.

AHL vs SL key differences

  • Paper 1: SL = 30 MCQ / HL = 40 MCQ
  • Paper 2: SL = 75 marks / HL = 90 marks
  • AHL additions: Entropy/Gibbs · Hybridisation · Transition metals · Born-Haber · SN1/SN2 mechanisms · NMR · Advanced electrochemistry
  • Hours: 150 SL vs 240 HL

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